Skip to main content

Are China and Taiwan heading for war?

http://www.theweek.co.uk/88946/are-china-and-taiwan-heading-for-war



Oct 11, 2017

President of self-governing island vows to defend freedom in wake of reports of China’s invasion plans

Getty Images

Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen has sworn that her government will defend the self-governing island’s freedoms and democratic system, amid heightened tensions with China.

SEE RELATED 

Will China-Taiwan summit lift distant threat of war?

“We need to remember democracy and freedom were rights obtained through all of Taiwan people’s countless efforts,” Tsai said in a speech on Tuesday to mark Taiwan’s National Day. “Therefore, we need to use all our power to defend Taiwan’s democratic and freedom values and lifestyle.”

Cross-strait relations have rapidly deteriorated since Tsai took office in May last year. China does not trust her traditionally pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party and has cut off all official communication with Taipei.

Tsai, who has pledged to maintain peace with China, said her government was still seeking breakthroughs in ties with Beijing, and promised consistent and stable policies.

“I have repeatedly said, our goodwill doesn’t change, our promises don’t change; we won’t walk on the old path of confrontation, but we won’t bow to pressure,” she said.

Advertisement

The two countries split following a civil war in 1949, but according to leaked restricted Chinese military documents gathered and analysed by scholar and author Ian Easton, China still sees self-governing Taiwan as a wayward province to be brought back into its fold, by force if necessary.

Mexico’s president vows to rebuild after quake

 

Mexico’s president vows to rebuild after quake

01:01

Coming up next

Mexico’s president vows to rebuild after quake

video playing

“Only by military occupying the island,” Easton cites a restricted-access Chinese military field manual as saying, can China “totally end the long military stand-off across the Strait”.

“While it may seem unbelievable to most foreigners, officers in the Chinese military are constantly studying and practicing plans for the invasion of Taiwan,” Easton writes.

Nightmare scenario

The consequences of a Taiwan-China conflict would be wide-ranging and devastating, says Slate’s Isaac Stone Fish, in an article entitled “Asia’s other nightmare scenario”.

He argues that such a conflict is at least as likely to occur as one between North Korea and the US - firstly, because the goal of “liberating” Taiwan is the paramount foreign policy concern of Beijing.

Advertisement

“A healthy democracy of 24 million people, Taiwan belies the party’s implicit argument that Chinese people need an authoritarian government in order to flourish,” Stone Fish says.

Secondly, China’s desire for regional domination is well known, and the occupation of Taiwan would weaken its long-term rival Japan and “ensure Beijing’s ability to maintain its trade links in the Western Pacific in the face of a US-organised blockade”.

Although it is unclear whether the US would come to Taiwan’s aid in the event of an invasion, Beijing’s control of Taiwan would be a definite threat to the geopolitical balance of the region.

Last month, the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Joseph Dunford, told Congress: “I think China probably poses the greatest threat to our nation by about 2025.”

Easton cites another restricted Chinese government document as saying: “As soon as Taiwan is reunified with Mainland China, Japan’s maritime lines of communication will fall completely within the striking range of China’s fighters and bombers.”

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Balochistan to establish first medical university

https://www.dawn.com/news/1366135

The Newspaper's Staff CorrespondentOctober 25, 2017QUETTA: The provincial cabinet on Tuesday approved the draft for establishing a medical university in Balochistan.Health minister Mir Rehmat Saleh Baloch made the announcement while speaking at a press conference after a cabinet meeting.“The cabinet has approved the draft of the medical university which would be presented in the current session of the Balochistan Assembly,” he said, adding with the assembly’s approval the Bolan Medical College would be converted into a medical university.Published in Dawn, October 25th, 2017

China’s 'Digital Silk Road': Pitfalls Among High Hopes

https://thediplomat.com/2017/11/chinas-digital-silk-road-pitfalls-among-high-hopes/


Will information and communication technologies help China realize its Digital Silk Road?By Wenyuan WuNovember 03, 2017In his speech at the opening ceremony of China’s 19th Party Congress, President Xi Jinping depicted China as a model of scientific and harmonious development for developing nations. Xi’s China wants to engage the world through commerce but also through environmental protection and technological advancement. This includes Beijing’s efforts to fight climate change with information and communication technologies (ICTs) that it plans to export along its “One Belt One Road” initiative (OBOR). Xi may have ambitious plans, but could China be throwing up obstacles in its own way?In his speech, the Chinese president emphasized the need to modernize the country’s environmental protections. The Chinese state is taking an “ecological civilization” approach to development and diplomacy, with a natio…

Germany’s Siemens sets up Belt and Road office in Beijing

https://gbtimes.com/germanys-siemens-sets-up-belt-and-road-office-in-beijing
Germany’s Siemens sets up Belt and Road office in Beijingby Janne Suokas Mar 23, 2018 15:20 TRADEINVESTMENTBELT AND ROAD INITIATIVEGerman industrial and engineering group Siemens will set up a Belt and Road office in Beijing. surberFlickrCC BY 2.0
German industrial and engineering group Siemens will set up an office in Beijing to boost international cooperation under China’s Belt and Road initiative, the company said on Friday.The move will help strengthen Siemens’ cooperation with Chinese and international companies and expand business opportunities brought about by the Belt and Road initiative, according to the company’s statement.The Belt and Road initiative is China’s ambitious project to boost trade and infrastructure investment in more than 65 countries along the ancient Silk Road trade routes from Asia to Europe and Africa.Siemens said it had already partnered with hundreds of Chinese companies in overse…